The Phive - 5 Daily Sports Bets (8/6)
What a day, what a day! For anyone who followed my lead, nothing was easy, but somehow, someway, we pulled out a 4-1 record! That brings me to an overall record of 21-12. Not bad at all.
If you read my MLS section yesterday, you likely went just 1-1 on the day, but I want to brag for a second. Take a look at all the bets that I liked for the corners prop. It was Philadelphia at under 4.5, Portland under 5.5, and the game under 10.5. While ultimately, I went with Portland getting more than Philly, the final numbers were 5 for Portland, 4 for Philly, and 9 for the game. That's a pretty damn good read, even if Philly didn't pull out the victory. More on the MLS in a bit.
The Twins over hit because of a four-run ninth inning. I won't lie, I was ready to mark it down as a loss. Trevor Williams pitched an absolute gem for the Pirates. Lucky for us, their bullpen is terrible.
The NBA saw a 2-0 day, with Kyle Kuzma frustrated most of the game but still managing to drill two threes in the pitiful performance by the Lakers. The Raptors led by as many as 20, before letting it get tricky down the stretch. Luckily, they did enough to hold on. Like I said, yesterday was a crazy day. Every bet could have gone the other way, and yet, here we are at 4-1.
Oh, and the Blazers didn't play, but the Grizzlies and Spurs both dropped games meaning Portland is now 1 game behind Memphis for the eighth seed. And even better, they're up by a game on the Spurs for the ninth.
What a day.
Here's where we stand.
Twins over 4.5 runs (W)
Most Corners Portland Timbers (-125) (W)
Raptors -6.5 (W)
Kyle Kuzma over 1.5 3-pointers (W)
Philadelphia Union to advance (-106) (L)
Record to this point:
Total 21-12 (1-4)
NBA 15-5 (0-1)
NHL 2-3 (0-2)
MLS 2-2 (1-1)
Futures in the mix:
Trail Blazers over 3.5 wins (+120) - 2 wins, 5 games left
Trail Blazers 8-seed (+400) - 9th place, 1 game back of Memphis
75% NBA record on the line!
Everyone wants to go 100%, but the unfortunate truth is that is never going to happen. However, a 75% mark through 20 bets is nothing to laugh at. Today my eyes are on New Orleans, and this time I'm actually going to hop aboard the Zion hype train. In the first two games, Zion played a total of 29 minutes, yet in the third game, he played 25 and looked so much better because of it. In the first two games, he scored a grand total of 20 points. Against the Grizzlies, he scored 23. I think this is going to become the norm now. Despite the 1-2 record in the bubble, the Pelicans are still very much alive in the hunt for the eighth seed, and the rest of their schedule features a bunch of winnable games. I think this is what Zion was being saved for. His number is probably going up. At the time of writing it's at 19.5. I'd take this two points higher but stop there.
BET: Zion Williamson over 19.5 points
But I'm not done with the Pelicans yet. I like them to also cover in this game against the Kings. I've been going against the Pelicans all bubble long, but the Kings just aren't clicking right now and are now in last place amongst all bubble teams in the West. The Pelicans play inspired in this one with their team finally playing meaningful minutes together. At a small number, I can't help but like this one.
BET: Pelicans -4
Moving onto another game in the West, I'm eyeing the Blazers as four-point favorites over the Nuggets. This game is tough, with the Nuggets playing the second half of a back to back and the Blazers in a position to really solidify their playoff chances. I'm going to wimp out a bit here, but the main reason is that at the time of writing, I don't know if Jamal Murray is going to play. If he doesn't play I like Portland at -4. Because I'm writing this before the word comes out, I'm going to take the ML. The line is pretty good, and right now the Blazers have too much on the line, and too much going for them, to let this one slip by.
BET: Portland Trail Blazers (-176)
One more time for the MLS!
We're so close. The final semifinal game. After this, we only have one matchup left of this tournament, and you better believe I'm going to be looking for a read on it. With this second game, I'm very confident in Minnesota United. If you've been listening to "On The Card", you know they're the team I think should be favored to win the tournament, and have felt that way for a while. (Also, "On The Card" will air tonight after this game.) Orlando has been the Cinderella of the tournament, but they're going to run into one of the most disciplined defenses in the league. I like Minnesota to continue their hot play, take advantage of a good, but beatable Orlando backline, and get the job done.
BET: Minnesota United to advance (-106)
We're on a hot streak right now in the MLB. That Twins over had no business hitting, and yet even when everything went as bad it could have, we still hit it. That's how you know you're making the right reads. Today, the Rangers are taking on the A's and it has high-scoring written all over it. The Rangers have Mike Minor on the mound. He was shelled in his last start against the Giants, giving up six earned runs in 5.2 innings. The A's are starting Mike Fiers, and while he has been okay this season, he has still given up his fair share of runs as well. The first game in the series went for six runs, while last night's game went for 10. I like both of these teams to keep their bats alive against two average pitchers and go over the current line of 8.5.
BET: OAK/TEX over 8.5 runs
That's it for today's edition of The Phive. Make sure to tune into the TRHS Sports YouTube channel tonight after the MLS semifinal for my predictions for this weekend's slate of action. It's going to be a very crowded weekend, and every weekend after this one will have fewer teams playing than the weekend before. Enjoy the mayhem while it lasts.
Be sure to follow me on Twitter @Phil_Wood_Jr, and shoot me a DM if you have questions about any games! Also, if the advice I've been giving has worked for you, make sure to let the world know and share this link with others.
See you tonight "On The Card".