The Phive - Free Daily Sports Bets (8/19)
I had started writing this edition of The Phive with the sentence "Well, that was a bad day." And then it wasn't. We got a solid underdog winner with the Flyers and Canadiens under, but then watched Victor Oladipo go down with an eye injury, which led to a loss in a bet that easily could have been a win had he stayed healthy. The Pacers played pretty well all things considered. They needed more flow at the end, but this series is far from over.
Meanwhile, the Thunder started off in possibly the worst way possible for them. Their offense looked absolutely horrific, with absolutely no movement. This was a game they needed to win with Russ out, but they were instead never close. However, because it was such a blowout, we still managed to sneak away with the over and 1-1 record on the game. We move on.
Today's update is going to look a little crowded. With NHL playoff series finally coming to a close, I'm going to add in my NHL first-round futures bets so that everyone can follow along with how I'm doing with them. If you got in, there is a chance for just about all of them right now. Let's keep our fingers crossed as tomorrow is going to be a huge day.
For record-keeping purposes, I will be counting all the bets I recommended for the futures for both the NBA and the NHL. This will give you an idea of whether you should trust me or not for the second round of each.
Here's where we stand.
PHI/MTL under 5 (+100) (W)
OKC/HOU over 225 (W)
Vegas Golden Knights (-250) (W)
VGK/CHI over 5.5 games (-139) (L)
Lakers -5.5 (L)
Thunder -1.5 (L)
Pacers +4 (L)
Record to this point:
Total 42-28 (7-6)
NBA 22-12 (2-1)
MLB 7-5 (1-1)
NHL 10-7 (3-3)
MLS 3-4 (1-1)
NHL Playoff Futures
Series Winners: 1-0
Philadelphia Flyers (-240)
Flyers in 5 (+335) - Flyers lead 3-1
Tampa Bay Lightning (-220)
Series under 5.5 games (+120) - Lightning lead 3-1
New York Islanders (+150)
NYI/WAS series over 5.5 (-167) - Islanders lead 3-1
Carolina Hurricanes (+135)
Over 5.5 games (-175) - Bruins lead 3-1
Colorado Avalanche (-250)
Series under 5.5 games (+104) - Avalanche lead 3-1
Dallas Stars (-136)
Stars in 6 (+525) - Stars lead 3-2
Vancouver Canucks (+165)
Series over 6.5 games (+205) - Series tied 2-2
Today is going to be very favorite heavy. Sorry for being boring.
Gordon Hayward out for 4 weeks
This is a huge loss for a Celtics team that is incredibly talented but not incredibly deep. They came out and took it to Philly, and had it not been for a terrible third quarter, this would have been one of the more dominant performances of day one. However, even with Hayward out, I think the Celtics are just a far superior team to the 76ers. The 76ers played really well in game one, yet still came up with a loss and didn't cover the spread. They relied heavily on Joel Embiid which worked early, but as this series goes on, I think fatigue is going to become a serious issue.
BET: Celtics - 4.5
Other teams that took a punch and survived
The Nuggets and the Clippers both took serious punches to the face in their first games. Both teams found themselves in close contests because of incredible individual performances by the opposition. For the Nuggets, they had to go head-to-head with Donovan Mitchell who went for 57 in the game. It was an unbelievable performance, but it was matched by Jamal Murray who went toe-to-toe with him and ultimately pulled away in overtime. I think the Nuggets took the best shot from the Jazz and will now have an easier game as they lock down on Mitchell and force the rest of the team to play well. I don't think I'm speaking in hyperbole when I say the Nuggets played terrible in game one, and yet they still won and covered.
BET: Nuggets -3.5
Meanwhile, the Clippers had to take on Luka Doncic, who set an NBA record for most points by a player in their first playoff game. The Clippers got off to a red-hot start, then fell apart and let the Mavericks control a lot of the game. Had Kristaps Porzingis not been ejected from the game, there is a very good argument to be made that the Mavs pull out the victory in that game. But the Clippers still managed to win, and as a really well-coached team that also has the best depth in the playoffs, I like them to come out and let the Mavericks know who the real best team in this series is. There is a good chance that -6.5 is the widest this spread gets, so don't be shy about waiting to try to find a better number.
BET: Clippers -6.5
Onto the NHL
As I said in the opening, I have a chance to wrap up three of my playoff prop bets today, and I fully expect to nail them all. I'm going to Colorado first, where they take on the much less talented Coyotes. Game four showed what the Avalanche can do to this team when they're on and the Coyotes aren't. I expect to see more of the same today as the Avalanche end this series and move on to more talented teams.
BET: Avalanche -1.5 (+125)
For my final bet, I'm going back to Tampa Bay vs Columbus. After the first game, I said I was done with this series for at least two games. And I did exactly as I said. But now I'm back. I think the Blue Jackets are done. They shouldn't have even made it this far and, in game four, they looked absolutely terrible despite only losing by one goal. Much like with the Avs, I like the Lightning to come out and take it to a lesser team and move on to the next round with no issues. I'm going to play it safe and take the moneyline, which I think should actually shift toward the Blue Jackets. So wait until tomorrow morning before taking this.
Note: This game is at 9am PT, so make sure if you want to bet on it, you get it in.
BET: Tampa Bay Lightning ML (-180)
That's all I have for today's edition of The Phive. Make sure to check me out tomorrow morning "On The Card" on the TRHS Sports YouTube channel. If you have any questions, or want a read on a game, please feel free to message me on Twitter @Phil_Wood_Jr.