The Phive - Free Daily Sports Bets (8/24)
NBA series are coming to a close which means our everlasting March Madness is coming to an end. At first, the NBA bubble was absolutely electric, but I have to admit that it lost some of its excitement in this first round of the playoffs. Every game started to feel the same without any travel or changing of the court, and the competition across many of the series was severely lacking.
And then the Mavericks/Clippers game happened. What a masterpiece that game was. The Clippers blew a 21 point lead to Luka Doncic, which led to the Mavs blowing a 12 point fourth-quarter lead to the Clippers. Tied, Kawhi Leonard got the ball for the last shot. He missed, sending the game to OT, where the game continued at it's back and forth excitement all leading to Luka nailing an incredible three to tie the series at two. It loses us a future bet, (which is ultimately looking like the case for most of my NBA props) but it also provided the most excitement we've seen in the first round of the playoffs.
However, if the East could just hurry up and end all their series and move on to the second round that would be great. I picked just one series to end in a sweep in the East, and guess what? That one series is the only one that looks like it's not going to end up that way.
In better news, I'm officially over 100 bets. Through the first 100, I hit 58, which gave me a nice 58% win percentage. Hopefully, I can keep it up as we move forward.
Here's where we stand.
Celtics (-360) (W)
Raptors (-5000) (W)
Raptors 4-1 (+170) (L)
Celtics 4-1 (+300) (L)
Clippers -2.5 games (+120) (L)
Record to this point:
Total 59-44 (14-11)
NBA 26-21 (2-3)
MLB 9-6 (2-1)
NHL 21-13 (9-6)
MLS 3-4 (1-1)
NHL Playoff Futures
Series Winners: 7-1
Colorado Avalanche (-215)
Colorado Avalance -1.5 games (-106) - Stars lead 1-0
New York Islanders (+118)
Islanders -1.5 games (+200)
Tampa Bay Lightning (-109)
Series over 5.5 games (-177)
Vancouver Canucks (+220)
Canucks +1.5 games (+110)
NBA Playoff Futures
Series Winners: 2-0
Bucks (-10000) - Bucks lead 2-1
Over 5.5 games (-129) - Heat lead 3-0
Lakers 4-1 (+240) - Lakers lead 2-1
Clippers (-530) - Series tied 2-2
Nuggets 4-2 (+350) - Jazz lead 2-1
Thunder 4-3 (+500) - Rockets lead 2-1
The Flyers and the Islanders get their series underway tomorrow, and I'm going to assume that this is going to be a defensive slugfest. Out of the eight teams remaining in the playoffs, these are by far the two best teams defensively. They both showed signs of life offensively in their opening-round wins, but I think that this first game is going to be a bit of a feel-out for both teams as they look for the best way to attack each other. I don't expect to see any goals in the first period, and as both teams proved throughout their first-round victories, they don't mind grinding out low-scoring victories. It's not exciting and it always makes watching hockey stressful, but I'm going to stick with the under here and assume the two defenses get it done in game 1.
BET: PHI/NYI under 5 goals
The other matchup tomorrow night features the Colorado Avalanche and the Dallas Stars. We lost a bad favorite bet in game 1 when the Stars came out firing and put up three goals in the first period. I still like the Avalanche to win this series, and I think that now might be the best time to get in on them to pull out the victory from an odds perspective. I'm seeing -112 at a variety of books. If you like them to win game 2, then this is a future bet worth betting. However, I'm not going to take a side in this game, instead, I'm going to go with the over. The Stars gave up a plethora of goals in their first series against the Flames, and the Avalanche are officially going to be without starting goalie Philipp Grubauer. The Avs offense can score at will, which I like them to do in this game as they have to make up for the fact that their goalkeeping is likely to be at a lesser capability.
I'm not saying every game in this series is going over, but in this game, I have a hard time seeing a reason why it wouldn't.
BET: COL/DAL over 5.5 goals
One MLB bet
For my only MLB, and final bet of the day, I'm going to the Twins vs the Indians. Kenta Maeda gets the start after his near no-hitter and will be taking on an Indians lineup that he's already faced off against once this season. In that first game, he gave up just one hit in six innings, and if his last start is any indication, he actually gets better against teams in his second start of the season against them. I'm also not impressed with the Cleveland offense right now. Playing badly against Matthew Boyd will have that effect.
Add to all this, Aaron Civale is getting the start for Cleveland, and he has walked just three batters all season long. I like that in a pitcher, especially when I'm looking at an under. Give me these two in a pitcher's duel at a nice price.
BET: CLE/MIN F5 under 4.5 runs (+100)
That's all I have for today. I won't be doing an episode of "On The Card" tomorrow, as I'm still struggling to figure out just exactly what is going on in the NBA. Therefore, if you want a read on a game, please reach out to me on Twitter @Phil_Wood_Jr.