The Phive - Free Daily Sports Bets (8/26)
That's another PHENOMENAL day in the books! 4-1 after a perfect 3-0, making it 7-1 in our last eight! It doesn't get any better than that!
First, I must say, thank you, Donovan Mitchell. Thank you. My two NBA bets were looking like my NBA bets have looked a lot of late. Not bad, but not good enough to go undefeated. The Jamal Murray bet was an easy over and totally stress-free, but Donovan Mitchell made things dramatic. We didn't see the fourth-quarter performance we're used to seeing from him this series with Michael Conley handling the ball a lot in crunch time. And because of it, Mitchell sat at just 27 points after a missed free throw and it looked like he was done shooting for the game.
And then he chucked up a horrid three which banked in. It was the shot heard round the world. At least in my household, and I'm sure yours if you tailed me. What a day. 2-0 in the NBA hasn't happened in a long time. It feels good to finally see some winners rather than frustrating losers.
The White Sox left us at the warning track in the bottom of the third and the bottom of the fourth, which is brutal considering we missed the F5 over by just one run and had we hit that we would have won seven straight bets! I said in yesterday's episode that I needed a single run from the Pirates. And I did. But I also could have just used one more thing going our way with the White Sox and we would have been perfect back to back days.
Here's where we stand:
Jamal Murray over 23.5 points (W)
Donovan Mitchell over 27.5 points (W)
Tampa Bay Lightning (-109) (W)
VAN/VGK over 5.5 goals (W)
PIT/CWS F5 over 4.5 runs (-125) (L)
Record to this point:
Total 66-48 (14-12)
NBA 28-24 (2-4)
MLB 10-7 (3-1)
NHL 25-13 (9-6)
MLS 3-4 (1-1)
Notable: 58-42 in first 100 bets
NHL Playoff Futures
Series Winners: 7-1
Colorado Avalanche (-215)
Colorado Avalance -1.5 games (-106) - Stars lead 2-0
New York Islanders (+118)
Islanders -1.5 games (+200) - Islanders lead 1-0
Tampa Bay Lightning (-109)
Series over 5.5 games (-177) - Series tied 1-1
Vancouver Canucks (+220)
Canucks +1.5 games (+110) - Series tied 1-1
NBA Playoff Futures
Series Winners: 2-1
Bucks (-10000) - Bucks lead 3-1
Lakers 4-1 (+240) - Lakers lead 3-1
Clippers (-530) - Clippers lead 3-2
Nuggets (-278) - Jazz lead 3-2
Thunder 4-3 (+500) - Series tied 2-2
NBA Second Round
The second round of the NBA playoffs will tipoff before the first round even ends when the Raptors take on the Celtics starting Thursday night in what is likely to be one of the best matchups of the second round no matter who else advances. Both teams are coming off dominant series sweeps in the first round, and now look to try to have similar success against much more worthy opponents.
I'll preface with, I am a Celtics fan. This is important to note before I get into this. But I didn't bet the Flyers, and therefore, I want you to trust that I will not be letting my rooting bias come into play here.
The Celtics are going to be short Gordon Hayward for this series and it will certainly be a much bigger deal in this matchup than it was in the first round against Philly. Jayson Tatum will definitely have a chance to prove his worth in this matchup as he takes on the dynamic guard duo of Fred VanVleet and Kyle Lowry. The Celtics will have to rely heavily on Tatum but will need a lot of help from the supporting cast if they want any chance in this series.
I'm looking at Jaylen Brown to be that difference-maker. He looked really good in the first round against the 76ers. But will it be enough when you start to look at the depth of the Raptors? Probably not. In my estimation, Pascal Siakam is going to have a great series, and while my hope is that the Celtics will find a way to slow him down, I honestly don't see it happening.
Kyle Lowry's ankle injury certainly is a cause for concern, but even if it limits his minutes in games 1 and 2, I like the Raptors to find a way to pull out four wins before the Celtics. I'm going with the favorite in this series.
BET: Toronto Raptors (-152)
For my series prop, I'm not even sure you all care what I have to say. At best I'm going 2-6, and there is still a chance I could go 0-8. I still don't think my reads were all that bad. The Nuggets, sure, but the Clippers -2.5 was great value and I'd take that bet any day of the week. Anyway, for this one, I'm playing it safe. I don't see a sweep and I think both teams are good enough to win two games. It's a bit pricey, but it's the only thing I'm confident in, so give me the series going over 5.5 games. And now watch it end in four.
BET: Series over 5.5 games (-235)
Avs need a win
For those who are tailing my NHL series bets, I apologize for what is happening between Colorado and Dallas. It was heavy juice and yet I went all-in on it. Philipp Grubauer getting injured is going to cause serious problems for the Avalanche, and I really worry that they're not going to be able to overcome it. They're going to need to find a way to beat Khudobin more than twice per game if they want to win this series. While I don't know if they'll win this game, though my fingers are crossed, I love them in the first period here. They got out to a hot start in game 2, and as a desperate team, they're going to come out firing again in game 3.
BET: Avalanche 1st Period (-137)
We're owed an NBA under
The Bucks and the Magic have been the heartbreak kids for any bettor who has thrown their money on the under. Two games ago we were on it when the two teams hit four threes in the last 1:30, but that was nothing compared to last game. The two teams combined for 62 points in the fourth quarter, including two free throws at the very end when Steve Clifford told his team to foul for some mysterious reason.
However, this game is going under. Why? Because the Bucks are going to jump out to a big lead early and then they're going to bench their important players in the fourth as they get ready to take on the Miami Heat. Every Eastern Conference matchup ended in a sweep except this one. The Bucks are going to get this series over with and they're going to worry about round two.
BET: MIL/ORL under 227.5
That's all for today. I'll be back tomorrow for another edition of The Phive. Also, "On The Card" returns tomorrow on the TRHS Sports YouTube channel. If you want a take on another game, please feel free to DM me on Twitter @Phil_Wood_Jr, or contact me via the homepage.