The Phive - Free Daily Sports Bets (9/1)
Today was flat out stressful. All of our bets were going on at the same time, and every single one of them was close. The Bruins go down as a loser, but they definitely outplayed the Lightning over the last period and in both overtimes. But in the NHL, you don't get a victory for outplaying the other team, you have to outscore them. And the Bruins didn't get it done. We get the series winner but lose our prop and the Bruins moneyline victory.
The Royals had zero runs heading into the bottom of the 8th when James Karinchak came in and walked the first two batters.
Meanwhile, Chris Paul put up six points in the first quarter then didn't score again until the fourth, while PJ Tucker had six at the half and needed just a bucket in the second half. Wait, that Tucker one seems easy. It would have been if the guy shot the ball in the third quarter.
All of this was happening at the same time. My blood pressure was high. Yours certainly was too if you tailed me.
Yet Tucker managed his over, the Royals did their job and stayed under 2.5, and Chris Paul did everything he could to keep his team alive. Because of it, we escape the day with a 3-1 record, with two of our wins coming as underdogs.
Welcome to September.
Here's where we stand.
Tampa Bay Lightning Series Winner (-109) (W)
Royals under 2.5 runs (+100) (W)
PJ Tucker over 6.5 points (+105) (W)
Chris Paul over 20.5 (-104) (W)
Boston Bruins (+102) (L)
Series over 5.5 games (-177) (L)
Record to this point:
Total 77-53 (18-13)
NBA 34-24 (4-4)
MLB 11-7 (4-1)
NHL 29-17 (9-7)
MLS 3-4 (1-1)
Notable: 58-42 in first 100 bets
NHL Playoff Futures
Series Winners: 8-1
Colorado Avalanche (-215) - Stars lead 3-2
New York Islanders (+118)
Islanders -1.5 games (+200) - Islanders lead 3-1
Vancouver Canucks (+220)
Canucks +1.5 games (+110) - Golden Knights lead 3-1
NBA Playoff Futures
Series Winners: 5-1
Nuggets (-278) - Series tied 3-3
Thunder 4-3 (+500) - Series tied 3-3
Toronto Raptors (-152)
BOS/TOR series over 5.5 games (-235) - Celtics lead 1-0
Milwaukee Bucks (-385)
Bucks -1.5 (-195) - Heat lead 1-0
Huge NBA day
Tomorrow, we have our first Game 7 of the 2020 playoffs, but before I get to that game, I'm going to take a look at Game 2 of the Raptors and Celtics series. Toronto was horrible on the offensive end in Game 1, which led to a huge Celtics victory. It wasn't like the Celtics defense was stifling, the Raptors offense was just that bad. I've been saying consistently that whoever won Game 1 was going to lose Game 2 and after what I saw Sunday, I have no reason to change my stance. The Raptors offense will be better in this game than they were in the first, which is really all it's going to take to get them their first win in the series. Plus, this number is really small.
BET: Raptors -1.5
Onto Game 7. First of all, I like the Nuggets to get the win here. They're only one point favorites, and I'm jumping all over it. In Game 6, they looked like the much better team, and it was because they actually played a full game of basketball. They've won two straight to get to this point and I like them to keep riding the hot hand, as they finally live up to their potential and punch a ticket into round 2 against the Clippers.
BET: Nuggets -1
Phil, that wasn't a very thorough explanation. I know. But it leads to my next bet. Jamal Murray is unstoppable right now. He is playing absolutely out of his mind, and I can't wait to see what he does in Game 7. Every shot he threw up in the fourth quarter of Game 6 seemed to go in, and I like him to keep that focus going into this game. I've been on his over every game since Game 3, and there is absolutely no reason to stop now.
BET: Jamal Murray over 30.5
Now, you didn't think I was going to leave Donovan Mitchell out, did you? He and Murray have been dueling all series long and in Game 7, I can't imagine that the strategy for either team changes. Mitchell is going to have to be the guy if the Jazz are going to stay with the Nuggets. The defense for Denver has been much better of late, yet Mitchell has still gotten his points. I would have been willing to take this all the way up to 35.5. I can't complain about where the number came in.
BET: Donovan Mitchell over 32.5
One NHL bet
I'm taking the Canucks. They outplayed the Golden Knights for the first two periods on Sunday night, but has as been the case in so many games this postseason, Vegas stormed back and took control in Game 3. However, the reason this happened is because fatigue really started to settle in for a shorthanded Vancouver team playing the second day of a back-to-back. With a day in between games 4 and 5, I like the Canucks to be as resilient as they always are and get us a really nice underdog victory.
BET: Vancouver Canucks (+188)
That's all I have for today. I'll be back tomorrow morning with another episode of "On The Card" on the TRHS Sports YouTube channel. Any questions? Reach out to me on Twitter @Phil_Wood_Jr.